Why five districts will decide the fate of all players

Who will win Punjab? The answer to this question lies elsewhere. There are five major districts in the state, each representing over seven seats. These are Amritsar, Gurdaspur, Ludhiana, Jalandhar and Hoshiarpur. They make up 48 seats, or 41% of the House’s workforce of 117.

Out of these five districts, Jalandhar and Hoshiarpur are in Doaba, Amritsar and Gurdaspur are in Majha, while one district, Ludhiana, is in Malwa. Almost a third of these 48 seats are in each of the three regions. The AAP must win seats from here to form a government in Punjab. In 2017, he had won four seats from this region.

In these districts, the Hindu population is above the state average, with the exception of Amritsar. Turnout in all these boroughs is even lower than that recorded this year. Only Gurdaspur recorded a similar 72% stake. Amritsar recorded one of the lowest voting percentages.

Three of these districts – Ludhiana, Amritsar and Jalandhar – have more than 50% urban population. Jalandhar and Hoshiarpur also have a high SC population.

In 2017, up to 43% Dalit Hindus and 48% non-Dalit Hindus supported the Congress. The party won 31 of 45 Hindu-influenced seats in 2017.

The BJP’s main voting base is in these districts (except Amritsar). If he succeeds here, it could hurt the AAP’s prospects because instead of moving away from Congress for the AAP, some Hindus could move from Congress to the BJP. The Prime Minister’s security breach has become a big topic of discussion within the community.

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